Before I get into the things that connect all the cases, like profile points, geographic clusters, and the possible logics behind victim or perpetrator behaviors, I feel I should first address all the ad hominem attacks leveled at Dave (he keeps calling himself Dave from the point of view of third persons, and Im a third person, so why not). Sure, random things happen, even extremely unlikely things. This should definitely include basic data like demographics of the missing and the dates and times of disappearances, in addition to locations, which were already visualized as the cluster map. Again without anyone seeing the body get in. There is a chance that the person will not want to admit a bout of irrational behavior, but they should not have amnesia, unless a blow to the head, extreme psychological trauma, or very specific chemicals were involved. While sudden arrhythmia can account for some of the Missing 411 cases, there are just too many. Its not crazy talk, its a genius speculation of one of the sci-fi greats. If a criminal group with the same unusual means and methods of abducting people in a forest setting is taking advantage of bad weather to kidnap and do god knows what with people in the same unusual ways, then the bad weather compromising searches should correlate more often with cases that contain other unusual elements to them than with normal cases of people going missing in a forest. Watch on. Clearly, a person drunk or out of it enough to fall into water and drown is not going to take care to avoid security cameras and potential witnesses at the point of entering the water. Usually, the tragic stories are about mushroom poisoning. At the very least, it would require a vast, perfect conspiracy, and thats never a good go-to explanation. The concept of a holistic detective may be a fiction invented by Douglas Adams, but the interesting aspect of his science fiction ideas is that while crazy-sounding and hilarious, they are logically consistent and potentially realistic. In the Dennis Martin case, the Martin family went on a hike into a forest, and in the forest, they met another Martin family. The person could have fallen into some hard-to-access crevice or got buried. Much like Dave eventually had to include urban cases that he was initially avoiding, I believe the next spoke in the wheel (as Dave likes to call it) will have to be cases that share many of the Missing 411 profile points without the person actually going missing. In a normal sample of deaths, youd expect roughly 500 unexplained deaths in 500,000. Which brings me to some espionage-related implications. It would make much more sense for this tech to be involved in the urban cases. If the person was targeted outside, other options open up. The latter possibility would imply that even if there werent significantly many of them within the sample in comparison to all people or all park visitors, there may be a specific, several centuries-old genetic reason or personal grudge involved. Not many things need to be the same for all or most unexplained cases, and they will be objective facts. When a Smith family runs into a Smith family, its probably no big deal. The German language also isnt particularly unique, as it exists on a continuum with a number of other European languages that are all similar. Not wholly impossible, but an extreme leap nonetheless. Especially if youre an expert with answers. For the profile point, it means that more weight should be given to cases where the disappearance after separation was abrupt, but also that the feeling unwell or the wildly running into a forest-type separations should be looked at separately. The. How do you infuse high amounts of drugs into a body quickly and stealthily (or extract all of the blood, for that matter)? The only thing you need to make sure of is that the sample of your observations is representative. Here I have to give credit to Seriah Azkath and the Snake Brothers, who pointed out the likely direction of causality regarding this profile point on a recent Where Did the Road Go show. On the other hand, there are some data points that indicate that theres something unusual going on during the disappearances with the dogs. Otherwise, literally only the Nazis would care about this. Besides chemicals, one could make an argument for an uncommon EM, other type of radiation, or infrasound-based technologies, but nothing should be 100% reliable. It would be easier to do in a city setting, where there are at least roads all over the place, but in that case, I would expect someone at some point seeing some of the kidnappings. Upon reading the Eastern book, it is really simplistic and pretty cut and dry. 189 ratings20 reviews. What makes it so tough is that I dont think you can determine when it was a failure, and when there was nothing to be found. From that point of view, this profile point should always be analyzed together with other variables. How odd is enough? Which brings me to a statistical issue that I think Dave got wrong. Its important to understand that when youre working against an intelligent adversary, they will try to use your statistical reasoning against you, not doing anything too frequently, so that you brush it all off as a mere coincidence, normal chance. Scientists do this all the time. Ideally the kind of evidence that proves that the dogs should have been able to pick up the scent, but didnt, like in the cases when a dead body was later found in an area after it was combed through with standard search dogs or cadaver dogs. This is why it seems very suspicious to me that in Missing 411 cases, the majority of people who are found alive have amnesia and only a minority reports something strange happening. For this reason, the inability of trackers to track the person should only be considered significant when other, positive evidence is present, like when the body shows up later in a previously searched area, or when the trackers actually do find something thats harder to find than the person, like their matchbox, but not any of the much larger objects the person was carrying. 4.43. On the internet. Somebody called the profiling that Daves doing cherry-picking, and Dave said that yeah, thats exactly what hes doing. With all the insults out of the way, lets look at the profile points. In contrast, hallucinations should be much more common. Pretty much the only non-exotic explanations are that the person was carried, or put into a vehicle and driven or flown away, and there were cases of people too heavy to be carried by anything normal, while there tend to be no tracks or noises indicating either of these options taking place. If an area has been searched dozens of times, chances are the search was sufficient. While phenomena of this type are not strictly speaking ruled out by theoretical physicists, they would at the very least expect them to be substantially more rare, if they were to occur strictly naturally. Missing 411: The Hunted. If the point was that you need to work with or study specific genetic markers, given that Germans are, ironically, one of the least genetically pure groups in the world. While our current medical science is far from perfect, the real number of truly unknown causes of death appears to be quite low, somewhere in the range of 1.34 per 100,000 (in the U.K.) and 15 per 100,000 (in the U.S.). Dave also likes to cite one case in which the police officers noticed that the subject who lost his shoes had clean socks, after apparently traveling on his own for several miles through a muddy area. The religion and military connection may also be connected to a specific cultural grudge, but what they imply to me is that maybe any targeting would be more of an issue of neurology rather than genetics. The clearest one is the account of being taken into a cave with robots and then asked to poop on a foil, but a similar conclusion can be drawn from less obvious accounts, like the one about there being continuous sunlight for several days. Speaking of bizarre and inexplicable, these books and documentaries describe a growing number of cases (now in the low thousands) of people going missing or being found under strange circumstances. This implies that the way in which these people disappear involves their rapid incapacitation, or at least severe confusion. This clearly points to an intelligent perpetrator, and one who, inexplicably, doesnt have a very good grasp of how human clothing works. The reason why Im mentioning it is that he had his shirt missing and various articles of his clothing were improperly fastened, almost as if he was undressed and then dressed back in a hurry. Documentary 2019 1 hr 37 min. Interestingly, and horrifyingly, the screams and howls recorded in the case of Henry McCabe, who was found dead without any apparent cause, do resemble the noises made by people who are tazed. Furthermore, if I understand the abstract of the U.S. study correctly, 5% of autopsy reports in the U.S. list the cause of death as undetermined, even though the real number of undeterminable deaths is much lower than that. This video contains the following Missing Person Cases: Maria Hendrika, 38 Years, Missing July 1, 1959, Yosemite National Park. Forests being bigger and unmarked could certainly be an issue, just like the number and type of local predators or overall crime rates in the area, and maybe thats something that should be statistically analyzed using data that I dont have at the moment (comparing forests where people go missing versus those where they dont go missing based on these criteria). This one focuses a lot on hunters, people that typically know what they're doing in the woods / wouldn't do something stupid resulting in their disappearance. This doc also covers the 12 most common things that tie all these and other missing 411 cases . There could also be competing goods, but lets table that for now. Ignoring mind control for now (which is technically doable with advanced enough technology that we are already developing), someone who can remotely scan or edit brains can probably also stop someones heart with a more advanced version of taser. That obviously points to a kidnapping or assault attempt, though it doesnt clarify anything else. With Daniela Salmen, John Miles, Adam Palmer, Gail Star. 2019. While the possibility of pure fear killing a person is medically speaking speculative at best, extreme fear can certainly cause a lethal heart attack in a person with a heart that is in a less than stellar condition. Assuming that Bigfoot doesnt exist, this is still a completely reasonable activity. Former police detective David Paulides was initially brought on to investigate the circumstances around the many mysterious disappearances - here he presents the haunting true stories of hunters experiencing the unexplainable.Missing 411: The Hunted is based on the book by Paulides, which documents 185 cases of missing peoples from four . However, the understanding that there is such a connection between naming conventions and occurrence of a particular type of disappearance could be used as a lead to determine which places to investigate, either with priority, more thoroughly, or further back into the past. Yosemite happens to have the highest total of Missing 411 cases of any National Park. Or to put it another way, a pattern of correlations is when the same things keep happening more frequently than they should by chance, while a pattern of coincidences is when unique, extremely unlikely events keep happening in connection to a person, event, phenomenon, etc. Mostly, they just managed to say something like oh my gosh, or my phone is about to go dead, or gave out unsettling noises. For the first three-fourths or so of the documentary, we're under the impression that they seem to be easy targets for killers or maybe incredibly accident prone. How can we prove otherwise? And thats just the first step. Tristan White, 4 Years, Missing November 22, 2006, Minnesota. Specifically, when, where, or how they died. But I think theres more to it than that. What I can speculate on is why any type of perpetrator would have an operational range centered around large bodies of water or rock formations, or national forests and parks for that matter. In this light, it would only be strange if the person who felt unwell then traveled huge distance, which would be incongruous, or if the person was later found alive and healthy, but with no memory of what happened. If it keeps happening again and again, what youve got is a systemic anomaly, an anomaly on which you will keep getting more data, an anomaly that you can try to predict. The only theory other than aliens was KGB, or some sort of organized crime hit, but then it isnt clear why the agents or criminals would fail to properly dress the guy. Dave assembled the profile by reviewing details of all unexplained disappearances he could find that took place in the U.S. national parks and by noting what they had in common. Missing 411: The Hunted is a unique documentary. Right off the bat, it is important to distinguish coincidence from correlation. Occams razor therefore says foul play. What should be done first is a comparison with the distribution of times at which people from a random non-Missing 411 sample disappear in the same areas. Oh and sorry about all this, if youve ever intended to go into a forest again. And maybe nothing is. The only conventional explanation for reliable amnesia is when it is induced by some sort of chemical. Not only that, the details of her death, especially how she was found dead in a water tank on the roof of a hotel, mirrored the plot of a Japanese horror movie called Dark Water from 2002, remade in 2005 (Elisa died in 2013). For starters, in all of the cases where dogs couldnt pick up the scent and then the search was unsuccessful, the direction of causality could be that dogs not finding the scent should decrease the chance to find the missing person. You may have noticed that in all that speculation, I may have cracked the case at most in the sense of creating some structural microtears in it. Also, in case you make a mistake and blow your cover, humans will be far less likely to torch a natural treasure to get you. Theres bound to be a normal percentage of cases in which the trackers simply fail to locate evidence that is present in the area. However, after they get lost, I would expect more people with colorful clothing to be found, as it cuts both ways. It's completely bizarre. Conversely, a person out to dispose of a corpse in water clearly would take that care. And sure, tests have to be named something and there is a limited number of letters in the alphabet. When you have such data, a lot of it, about a state of an object, and it doesnt make any sense how it got there from its last known state, what youve got is a proper anomaly. They were missed by the exhaustive SAR campaign because. This is perhaps the main area in which I would like Dave to release tables with exact percentages of just how common various traits among the missing people are, as the first step that needs to be taken in any serious study is to compare the composition of Daves sample with the standard distributions of variables in the normal demographics of the involved states or countries. These are mainly the German connection, the religion connection, and the military connection, or a combination of two or all three. Scott Schumacher Without giving much away, the first messages that you put on the screen I believe are the thread you meant to weave into this movie..so that it could "shake the tree" so to speak. helen barbara nelson death, is morphe hypoallergenic, arizona missing persons,
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